Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 2, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.5M

Resolved

Settled

Jun 2, 2025 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.2% on 15 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 108 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2025 to 2 Jun 2025, the highest close was 1.1% on 28 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Apr 2025. $3.49M traded over the market's life.

127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 4:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 15 Feb 2025 – 2 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.76M
Siziriv	Yes	349.5K
taralynnbar	Yes	150.39K

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections will be held in Poland in May, 2025. If no candidate receives a majority in the first round, a second round will be held. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grzegorz Braun wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the winner of the election from the Polish government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW) (https://www.pkw.gov.pl/).