Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 18 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2024, the highest close was 1.5% on 18 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2024. $32.75K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 11:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 18 Sep 2024 – 30 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2024 | 1.5% |
| 30 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.89K |
| loulabonte | Yes | 151 |
| arekuczynski | Yes | 104 |
| alesioballard | Yes | 95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Legislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if GRÜNE (The Greens, Die Grüne Alternative) wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by GRÜNE, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-the-most-seats-austrian-legislative-election
| MoDiE-448 | Yes | 30 |
| merlin31 | No | 0.1 |
| Hanspeter-139 | No | 0.1 |
| fhantombets | No | 0.08 |
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