- What is the “Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will @Grok resume replying by Friday? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 11, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 10, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET and July 11, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($19.25K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
