Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 60 points from 66% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 69 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 39.5% on 27 Aug 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?”.
$34.01K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.5K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 412 trades, $4.32K bought Yes and $4.76K bought No; the largest was a $2.04K buy of No at 44.6¢.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 2.8K shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 8.3K. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 66.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 8.26K |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 2.78K |
| paddaa | Yes | 2.5K |
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein
| chocolatepudding |
| Yes |
| 509.04 |
| Gl4d | Yes | 444 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 429.27 |
| Featherstone1 | Yes | 306.08 |
| Crimson Scout DF5C | Yes | 300 |
| caseyn6 | Yes | 230.13 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 227.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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