Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.3%. Yes opened at 11% on 15 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 5 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 12% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.8% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points down, to 3.8% on 5 Aug 2026. $21.35K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 5 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 11.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 3.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.12K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Yes | 4.81K |
| dizel-041 | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wsop-main-event-winner-20260714164336205
| Yes |
| 2.48K |
| todamooon | Yes | 1.65K |
| merod | Yes | 1.35K |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood | Yes | 1.35K |
| paspor | Yes | 1K |
| cash-machine | Yes | 903.38 |
| reckoner4 | Yes | 746.67 |
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