Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 2 Mar 2026 and the low 51.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 87% on 15 Dec 2025. $11.84K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 51.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 2.04K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 755.58 |
| TENETENET | No | 499.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Texas, scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Texas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Texas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-governor-republican-primary-winner
| No |
| 475.99 |
| yobengtong | No | 228.75 |
| kenjiaoga | No | 228.33 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 165 |
| pinggouji | No | 156.67 |
| midunzhuo | No | 152.86 |
| zhizilan | No | 141 |
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