Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2026 to 8 May 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.5% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 50% on 15 Apr 2026. $62.55K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 6:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 15 Apr 2026 – 8 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 May 2026 | 93.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Colorless-Payment | No | 482 |
| HumanGrowthHormone | No | 344.88 |
| generalVR | No | 320 |
| Laddy5 | No | 266.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-green-party-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kingdom-local-elections
| Bronze-Landmine | No | 166.67 |
| Bsau4 | No | 117.75 |
| jkls33333jkljh3845kk3hhhh4444 | No | 100.89 |
| vikiclaw | No | 75.81 |
| Taut-Sculptural | No | 71.43 |
| Glistening-Legume | No | 62.5 |
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