Analytics
Yes is at 4.3%, up 3.8 points from 0.5% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 4.3% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 4 Nov 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $200.02 since listing. The order book holds $994.2, with a 8.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.4K.
Trading closes on 17 Nov 2026, 12 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 0.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 4.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.4K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.01K |
| navber | Yes | 190 |
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpt-astra-6pt1-released-onptptpt
15 more markets, none above 2.5%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 80.02 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Lucky-Boy | Yes | 30 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 20.02 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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