Question 1

What is the “Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will GPT-5 be released on August 14? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will GPT-5 be released…?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 14, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($106.78K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 27 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.8% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 9, 12:57 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-gpt-5-be-released-on-august-14) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid	Spread	Volume	Trades
Aug 7, 12:00 AM	0.9%	0.9%
Aug 6, 12:00 AM	1.1%	1.1%

Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

Questions about this market