Analytics
Yes is at 2.6%, down 14 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 14 Aug 2026.
Across the 69 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.5% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%; a month before, 3.9%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 32.5% on 15 Aug 2026.
Google ranks fifth of the 16 outcomes in “Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?”. OpenAI leads at 90%; Anthropic is at 4.2%.
$1.86K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.32K, with a 4.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 110 trades, $7.52 bought Yes and $1.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is X10X10 with 382 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 92.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 16.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.33K |
| X10X10 | Yes | 381.82 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 278.67 |
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-october
4 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| burja8 |
| Yes |
| 199.99 |
| cigarettes | No | 100 |
| blastimas | Yes | 89.57 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 81.61 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 78.87 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 68.6 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 53.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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