
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 49.5% on 25 Nov 2025. $38.13K traded over the market's life.
106 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 24.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sweet-Notion | Yes | 800 |
| Memppari | Yes | 621.5 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 438 |
| Staid-Poultry | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between November 21 and December 31 2025, any 1-minute candle for Google (GOOGL) has a final "High" price equal to or above $345. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Google (GOOGL) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-googl-hit-before-2026
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 184 |
| Jerdie | Yes | 150.72 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 142.98 |
| Blond-Plight | Yes | 136.85 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 127 |
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