Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.530 | $79.5 | +$26.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 372.42 |
| $0.148 |
| $28.86 |
| -$26.35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 222 | $0.150 | $12.21 | -$21.09 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $3.65 | -$5.35 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.460 | $3.26 | -$16.74 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 340.91 | $0.044 | $2.22 | -$12.78 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.238 |
| $23.8 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.117 | $15.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 109.91 | $0.789 | $86.73 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.730 | $13.14 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.91 | $0.518 | $30 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes | buy | 51.03 | $0.120 | $6.12 | May 19, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 242.42 | $0.165 | $40 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 340.91 | $0.044 | $15 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.062 | $2.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 40 | $0.425 | $17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 95.41 | $0.350 | $33.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 125.45 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.6 | $0.143 | $18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 103.31 | $0.968 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Yes | buy | 60.22 | $0.249 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Ireland win?Yes | buy | 32.95 | $0.880 | $29 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ireland win?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ireland win?Yes | buy | 92.11 | $0.760 | $70 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.45 | $0.110 | $13.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.947 | $94.7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.150 | $33.3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.035 | $1.54 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 70.08 | $0.114 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.26 | $0.244 | $4.7 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.6 | $0.250 | $7.9 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.359 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.54 | $0.036 | $1.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 19.44 | $0.360 | $7 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 61.04 | $0.311 | $19 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 34.38 | $0.320 | $11 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??Yes | buy | 139.09 | $0.439 | $61 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 72.34 | $0.470 | $34 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 160.68 | $0.622 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |