Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 23.5% on 6 Mar 2026. $6.51K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 7:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gold-gc-above-end-of-march
| Yes |
| 269.95 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 150 |
| M2DN1 | Yes | 59.03 |
| vger7 | Yes | 40 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 14.95 |
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