Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 18 Jul 2026. $306.1 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 9:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.41K |
| poposub | Yes | 186 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Man of the Match award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-finals-player-of-the-match-20260716181946660
| crckr | Yes | 37.19 |
| balthazar | Yes | 34.68 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 23 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 22 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 14.97 |
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