Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 64.5%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 5 Feb 2026, the highest close was 89% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 49% on 29 Jan 2026. $1.02M traded over the market's life.
296 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 5 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 23.5% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 98.47K |
| Avarice31 | No | 24.83K |
| one8tyfive | No | 10.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the NBA team that officially acquires Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade from the Milwaukee Bucks before the 2025-2026 NBA season trade deadline. If Giannis Antetokounmpo is cut, retires, is not on an NBA roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Bucks through the NBA trade deadline, this market will resolve to "Not Traded". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-giannis-be-traded
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 10K |
| cowcat | No | 7.72K |
| nikowinwin | No | 6.13K |
| GoBirds6 | No | 5.56K |
| lavarball | No | 5K |
| DBomb | No | 3.13K |
| singularityman | No | 2.8K |
