Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 16 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 22 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34% on 17 Dec 2025. $54.36K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 44.5% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.5K |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 1.93K |
| openmic | Yes | 715.23 |
| Indigo Maven 04EC | Yes | 613.37 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the country that wins the third most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026. In the case of ties, the ordered list for most medals won will use most gold medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most medals won, and Norway wins more gold medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-winter-games-3rd-most-medals
| sandin | Yes | 528.26 |
| ck1997 | Yes | 435.11 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 377.9 |
| Sismon | Yes | 247.66 |
| backspin2 | Yes | 218 |
| Soft-Mention | Yes | 141.92 |
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