Analytics
Resolved U <45 on 4 Jul 2026.
$3.68K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the O 45+ price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | O 45+ price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dropmeplease | O 45+ | 60 |
| .Menthe | O 45+ | 50 |
| poposd | O 45+ | 40.2 |
| tiongbu | O 45+ | 40.19 |
| ManBOOOO | O 45+ | 20 |
| triklozoid | O 45+ | 15 |
| L.X | O 45+ | 8.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the final number of hot dogs eaten by Geoffrey Esper during the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. The market resolves "Over" if Geoffrey Esper eats 45 or more hot dogs, and "Under" if he eats fewer than 45. If the contest is cancelled, or postponed past July 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest-men-total-hot-dogs-eaten-20260703200731787
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