Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Oct 28, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$332.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 28, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 28 Oct 2024, the highest close was 94.5% on 28 Oct 2024 and the lowest 44.5% on 26 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 90.5% on 27 Oct 2024. $332.28K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 9:43 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 28 Oct 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Oct 2024	59.0%
28 Oct 2024	94.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
boomski	No	564.86
mrT	No	472.46
Amber Beacon A903	No	472.43
Galaktioni1	No	271.26

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if GD (kartuli otsneba – demok'rat'iuli sakartvelo, Georgian Dream - Democratic Georgia) controls 76 or more seats in the Parliament of Georgia after the results of the 2024 Georgian parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Georgian government and/or information published through the official website of Georgia's Central Election Commission (https://cesko.ge/en/home) will be used.