Analytics
Yes is at 50%, about where the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 47% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?”.
The order book holds $465.94, with a 68.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 42%–54%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gavin-newsom-announce-presidential-run-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
