Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 15.4% on 9 Apr 2026 and the low 0.2% on 1 May 2026. $3.42K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 10:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 5 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 3.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fussy-Forecast | Yes | 266.67 |
| RealMaxNick | Yes | 100 |
| Baggy-Tangerine | Yes | 90 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | Yes | 69 |
| Bountiful-Disposer | Yes | 49.44 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 33.96 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| acal | Yes | 26.37 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 22.14 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 15.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-april
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