Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$118.8K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 40% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 52% on 8 Mar 2026. $118.76K traded over the market's life.

59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 11:14 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 1 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Mar 2026	40.0%
1 Apr 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
chefradish	Yes	865.65
flalande	No	642.52
acal	Yes	600
TENETENET	Yes	500

10 of 59 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".