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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 288.64 | $0.097 | $90.92 | +$62.99 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 88.11 | $0.227 | $20 | 17d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.1K |
| $0.008 |
| $31 |
| +$5.22 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.180 | $21.3 | -$32.7 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.150 | $21 | -$9 |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.11K | $0.006 | $18.68 | -$0.48 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 357.01 | $0.168 | $16.07 | -$43.93 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 222 | $0.031 | $10.21 | +$3.33 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 88.11 | $0.227 | $7.31 | -$12.69 |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4.07K | $0.003 | $6.11 | -$7.54 |
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.43K | $0.003 | $5.15 | -$5.15 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 625.17 | $0.004 | $2.81 | +$0.31 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes | 49.85 | $0.130 | $2.74 | -$3.74 |
 Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.003 | $2.55 | -$3.12 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 900 | $0.004 | $2.25 | -$1.35 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 159.63 | $0.291 | $1.12 | -$45.32 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 149.56 | $0.012 | $0.97 | -$0.84 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 484.01 | $0.009 | $0.73 | -$3.63 |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 450 | $0.004 | $0.68 | -$1.13 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 388.3 | $0.005 | $0.58 | -$1.42 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 813.33 | $0.004 | $0.41 | -$2.66 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.38 | -$0.63 |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 450 | $0.003 | $0.23 | -$1.13 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 340 | $0.003 | $0.17 | -$0.85 |
| sell |
| 36.09 |
| $0.071 |
| $2.56 |
| 17d ago |
 Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.215 | $1.08 | 17d ago |
 Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 50.68 | $0.138 | $7 | 23d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.09 | $0.139 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 288.64 | $0.097 | $27.93 | 26d ago |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.18K | $0.006 | $19.09 | 27d ago |
 Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | sell | 377.6 | $0.003 | $1.13 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 119.62 | $0.418 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.011 | $3.45 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 405.91 | $0.007 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.045 | $2.78 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 319.21 | $0.006 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 225 | $0.430 | $96.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No | buy | 587.52 | $0.003 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.621 | $6.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.97 | $0.287 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 263.38 | $0.076 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.115 | $2.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.004 | $0.21 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.3 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 25.28 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 75 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.040 | $12.2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes | sell | 600.94 | $0.042 | $25.47 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes | sell | 228 | $0.051 | $11.7 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes | buy | 828.95 | $0.048 | $40 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.015 | $5.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 46.02 | $0.019 | $0.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 43.45 | $0.184 | $8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 112.35 | $0.089 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 103.25 | $0.077 | $8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | buy | 73.35 | $0.080 | $5.87 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 16.25 | $0.710 | $11.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 69.96 | $0.098 | $6.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.126 | $4.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.126 | $6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.028 | $2.66 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Yes | sell | 197 | $0.017 | $3.37 | May 27, 2026 |