Will gas hit $4.70 (High) by October 31?

geopoliticsActive

Closes Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

6.0%

94.0%

Yes costs 6¢No costs 94¢

24h Volume

$200

Total volume

$200

Liquidity

$255

Closes

Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Yes is at 6%, down 43 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.

Across the 21 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 19.5% on 3 Oct 2026.

It is one of 7 markets under “Will gas hit __ by end of October?”.

$200 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $255.23, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.

The largest Yes position is AJSV with 200 shares; the largest No position is BetterFish with 200.

Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 8:28 PM UTC

Trade

Trade Yes6¢

Pays $1 a share if Yes wins$200 24h vol

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026

Same event

Will gas hit __ by end of October?

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	200
BetterFish	No	200

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".