Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 45 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.3% on 23 Oct 2026. The current quote, 5.3%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 5.3% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 8% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Will gas hit __ by end of October?”.
The order book holds $572.53, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 1:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october
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