Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 8.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $177 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for any date from Monday, October 19, 2026 through Sunday, October 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-week-of-october-19-2026
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