Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 55.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 2.5% on 25 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 47% on 15 Sep 2026. $585.41 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 1:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 35 points · 27 Aug 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 52.5% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes | 155.44 |
| Amber Tide 9FAB | Yes | 63.44 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-september
New to prediction markets?
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
