Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 1.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $3.56K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| attempt-most | Yes | 2K |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| UniLB | Yes | 120 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-2-finish-2026
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
