Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 9% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 9% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.9 points down, to 2.1% on 1 Oct 2026. $1.64K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 9.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 149.99 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-10-finish-2026
| Yes |
| 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 19 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| leegunner | Yes | 5 |
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