Analytics
Yes is at 58.5%, up 26 points from 32.5% when the market opened on 30 Aug 2026.
The high was 85.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 32.5% on 30 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 71.5%; a month ago, 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 76.5% on 29 Sep 2026.
$8.33 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $553.3, with a 27.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is zaaid with 3 shares; the largest No position is Numitus1994 with 3.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 74 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 12:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 32.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 70.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zaaid | Yes | 3.28 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 3.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves G2 Esports's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of G2 Esports" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/5995/g2#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: huNter-, HeavyGod, MATYS, NertZ, r1nkle. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-g2-esports-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31
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