
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.7%. Yes opened at 38% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 38% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 73.5% on 1 Sep 2026. $2.26K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 1:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 38.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 95.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asalamtri4 | No | 197.55 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 55.01 |
| balabalababalabala | No | 32.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FUT Esports's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FUT Esports" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/13286/fut#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: cmtry, dem0n, dziugss, Krabeni, xfl0ud. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fut-esports-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31
| No |
| 30 |
| ramc2005 | No | 20 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 5 |
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