Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 48 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 24 Jun 2026.
Across the 126 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.6%; a month before, 0.9%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 17% on 18 Aug 2026.
Miami Heat ranks third of the 30 outcomes in “NBA Free Agency: Fred VanVleet Next Team”. Houston Rockets leads at 98%; Sacramento Kings is at 1.9%.
$394.68 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $376.59, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $0 bought Yes and $228.79 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. with 150 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 543.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 9:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 542.85 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 83.88 |
This market will resolve to the next team Fred VanVleet officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Fred VanVleet does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Fred VanVleet joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Fred VanVleet is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-free-agency-fred-vanvleet-next-team-20260622182154276
18 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 50 |
| Modern-Wolf | Yes | 44 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 42 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 29.42 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 21.46 |
| Bearnaise | Yes | 18.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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