Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?

Name: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? — implied probability history
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Resolved

No · settled May 8, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3M

Resolved

Settled

May 8, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	978.41K	0.0%	$0
lgasco	Yes	25K	0.2%	$50
Mikecramer	Yes	18.63K	0.3%	$49.99
baddiefling	Yes	11.44K	0.3%	$30
JohnnyTenNumbers	Yes	9.75K	1.8%	$174.07	May 8, 4:08 PM UTC
MrShelbySz	Yes	8K	0.1%	$8
faustinopsy	Yes	7.84K	0.1%	$11.84
Cucurbitacea	Yes	7.5K	0.2%	$15
FerEu.09.2024	Yes	7.21K	0.3%	$25
Lucasfermino	Yes	6.5K	0.2%	$13
byhugsome	Yes	5.1K	0.3%	$15.48	May 8, 4:52 PM UTC
FlorinMarc	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
sylverlinx	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
flashdaddy	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
bryanz	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
BabyYoda12	Yes	4.76K	0.1%	$4.76
agapornis	Yes	4.58K	0.2%	$10
bkillfire	Yes	4.31K	0.2%	$10
Corny-Pail	Yes	4.23K	0.9%	$37.99
Pierpaolo	Yes	4.17K	0.2%	$9
Rudyb	Yes	4.16K	0.1%	$5
Greg192012	Yes	4K	0.3%	$12
DMW	Yes	3.55K	2.3%	$82.76	May 8, 4:51 PM UTC
payandpay	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
NIGNIGNIGNIGNIGNININGGNIGNIG	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
Axelking	Yes	3K	0.2%	$6
Zbongo	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Aliasdiorg	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Criki	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Slushy-Memory	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
LeanderK	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Siziriv	Yes	2K	1.8%	$35.77	May 8, 4:50 PM UTC
Keltec	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4
PuristForm	Yes	1.67K	0.7%	$12
amoguss	Yes	1.66K	0.6%	$10
Clipfish99	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
afx1984	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Kingsmn	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Danno89	Yes	1.41K	0.3%	$4.24
vortexchan420	Yes	1.33K	0.1%	$2
gandalf	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Hhhhhhhhhhh82	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
Merry-Framework	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Esteemed-Jungle	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
WaffelEisen	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Sugary-Providence	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
ericdob75	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
gumibear	Yes	983.33	0.4%	$4
Apprehensive-Hypochondria	Yes	892.92	0.5%	$5
beatrices	Yes	860	0.4%	$3.44
Marple	Yes	825.61	0.2%	$2	May 8, 4:31 PM UTC
Twizzler	Yes	725.67	0.1%	$0.73	May 8, 4:26 PM UTC
ilijasdev	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2	May 8, 4:15 PM UTC
Exotic-Cauliflower	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Ticnervoso	Yes	630.88	0.8%	$5
dearchang3l	Yes	600	0.5%	$3
geminiiii	Yes	564.68	0.2%	$1
knaxxxi	Yes	502.59	0.2%	$1	May 8, 4:39 PM UTC
jalarrea	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
jaskaren	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
amazingt1	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Alexgi	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
SushiAssassin	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
yoyoyo112	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Afraid-Cobbler	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Rokko	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Makis	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Marrano	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Chapil	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
FaLLenSkiLL98	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
LokiTrio	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Berodi	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
King011	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
borja13	Yes	340.73	0.2%	$0.68
kr1st	Yes	335.83	0.6%	$2
Sabol	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
RupDaf62507	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
mleal	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 8, 4:16 PM UTC
theunknownhamster	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Mercedesarul	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Forceful-Diversity	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
angolan	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
thebents	Yes	250.94	0.8%	$2	May 8, 5:06 PM UTC
Papaalex	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
EternalFenix	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
MM5050	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Lallybox	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
siebenmal	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
NoHedgeJustLong	Yes	238.01	0.8%	$2
Ivory Pioneer 74D9	Yes	212.06	0.5%	$1	May 8, 5:12 PM UTC
pollydolly	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
stormbird	Yes	183	0.4%	$0.84
aadi92	Yes	64.17	1.6%	$1	May 8, 4:56 PM UTC
XADX95	Yes	0.91	0.1%	$0

94 of 94 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$978.41K
eithfi	$0.05
coolben	$0.02

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