Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 11% on 6 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 6 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 11% on 6 Sep 2025. $3.98K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 7:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 5 Sep 2025 – 7 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 5.0% |
| 7 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.1K |
| Firm-Brunch | Yes | 371.13 |
| RoWinner19 | Yes | 358.24 |
| plankong | Yes | 199.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Calabria, Italy, on October 5-6, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Calabria (Regione Calabria – Dipartimento Transizione Digitale e Attività Strategiche, https://www.regione.calabria.it/dipartimento-transizione-digitale-ed-attivita-strategiche/aree-tematiche/elezioni-2025/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/calabria-presidential-election
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 147.34 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 136 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 133 |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA9394 | Yes | 120.35 |
| Brigante88cz | Yes | 106.55 |
| fullport689 | Yes | 66.67 |
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