Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 126 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 91% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 52% on 12 Feb 2026. $43.54K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 49.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 252.87 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies publicly tradable sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-march-31-2026
| Yes |
| 139.37 |
| orixcrake | Yes | 127.88 |
| ACara | Yes | 117.2 |
| EfficientMarketHypothesis | Yes | 80 |
| Amber Maven 6E17 | Yes | 53.78 |
| dFA649 | Yes | 50.31 |
| Misty Oracle 70AA | Yes | 40.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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