Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 19 points from 29% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 90 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5% on 12 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50.5%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 50% on 12 Sep 2026.
$47.9 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $180.34, with a 18.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is flexer78 with 25 shares; the largest No position is bondbondbond with 48.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 29.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bondbondbond | No | 47.9 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 24.99 |
| cristinathearena | Yes | 22.91 |
Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year? This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count. The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fns-announce-a-2028-presidential-run-by-the-end-of-the-year-20260715211830939
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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