Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 55% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 12 May 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.9% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 55% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 89.5% on 18 Jan 2026. $394.35K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 10:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 12 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 55.0% |
| 12 May 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PanosMariolis2001 | No | 12.32K |
| Jade Meteor F990 | No | 3K |
| Rude-Geography | No | 1.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2026-first-semi-final
| No |
| 1.1K |
| Accurate-Ascot-Anime | No | 1K |
| nico.fwz | No | 1K |
| Uneven-Globe | No | 1K |
| Lucky-Church | No | 500 |
| Familiar-Post | No | 333.33 |
| eurov1sor | No | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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