Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 154.86 | $0.002 | $0.36 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
Lucky-Church is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,344,067 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$41.65 observed lifetime PnL, 19 resolved positions, a 26.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x84cbc275cfbdf07d978e5f6c1fb1cc5644d6f478
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 13.51 |
| $0.259 |
| $3.5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 362.4 | $0.004 | $1.5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.132 | $1.1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.012 | $0.21 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 62.7 | $0.009 | $0.59 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 37.51 | $0.003 | $0.11 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.036 | $0.67 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 336.76 | $0.004 | $1.34 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.140 | $0.78 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.023 | $0.7 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 62.7 | $0.020 | $1.24 | May 14, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.240 | $0.63 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Norway be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 154.86 | $0.006 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 1.76 | $0.999 | $1.76 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.590 | $1.04 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 24.33 | $0.082 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.086 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.999 | $3.12 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 175.39 | $0.001 | $0.19 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 105.4 | $0.002 | $0.21 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.019 | $0.81 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 105.4 | $0.012 | $1.23 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 108.4 | $0.009 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Poland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 500.88 | $0.002 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 139.9 | $0.007 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Georgia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 58.26 | $0.017 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 37.52 | $0.027 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 57.13 | $0.018 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 110.79 | $0.009 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 114.73 | $0.009 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz | sell | 3.22 | $0.530 | $1.71 | May 12, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageThe Huns Esports | sell | 7.69 | $0.240 | $1.85 | May 12, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 30 | $0.033 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 175.4 | $0.006 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.160 | $1.5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.