Analytics
Yes is at 4.6%, down 5.4 points from 10% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 88 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.3%; a month before, 1.3%. Its largest one-day move was 8.3 points down, to 1.8% on 2 Aug 2026.
$27.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.96K since listing. The order book holds $681.15, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 62 trades, $10.01 bought Yes and $811.03 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 521 shares; the largest No position is Momo63 with 711. Ten wallets hold 94.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 10.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Momo63 | No | 711.09 |
| Perypery | Yes | 521.47 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 149.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FIFA sells an equity stake in FIFA Forward Enterprise, or in any other entity that holds commercial rights to or operates the FIFA World Cup, to one or more outside investors by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An outside investor refers to any person not employed, or entity not owned or controlled, by FIFA, its member associations, or its confederations. A qualifying sale refers to an outside investor acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the entity. Non-equity financial instruments, sponsorship agreements, broadcast rights agreements, and other commercial contracts that do not convey ownership in the entity will not count. An official announcement by FIFA or by a purchasing investor of a completed qualifying sale, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying sale, within this market's timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Approvals of the entity's creation, proposals, negotiations, letters of intent, or other announcements which do not announce a completed sale or a binding sale agreement will not count. The entity need not be named FIFA Forward Enterprise, provided it fulfills the description above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fifa-sell-equity-in-the-world-cup-in-2026-20260731200630377
| tinman2 | No | 139.86 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 99.1 |
| Rowdy-Storyboard | Yes | 88.03 |
| Gl4d | No | 84.64 |
| Romiche22 | No | 70 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 62.84 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 40.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
