Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 96 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 30.5% on 29 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 13.5% on 30 Sep 2025. $19.15K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 29 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2025 | 30.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KaTXi | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 408 |
| sadrax666 | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned or suspended from participating in FIFA competitions by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a qualifying ban or suspension within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked. Temporary suspensions or exclusions that prevent Israel from participating in FIFA competitions will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fifa-ban-or-suspend-israel-in-2025
| Yes |
| 248.98 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 169 |
| lissartter | Yes | 122.09 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 88 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 86 |
| Topg2837 | Yes | 83.33 |
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