Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.3% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 8 Sep 2026, the highest close was 0.9% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2026. $448.1K traded over the market's life.
151 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 8 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 0.3% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.37M |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 817.15K |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 359.01K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 351.52K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 336.75K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 159.75K |
| balthazar | Yes | 159.34K |
| kneelbeforetheking | Yes | 111.78K |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | Yes | 100K |
| Cobalt Atlas A4C2 | Yes | 73.36K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
