Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.7%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 234 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 25 Apr 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 15% on 17 Aug 2025.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 25 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 7.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Vector 2089 | Yes | 138 |
| biser | Yes | 118.21 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-which-clubs-get-relegated
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| lushmaple7777 | Yes | 54.89 |
| leegunner | Yes | 50 |
| Neon Scout 1630 | Yes | 25 |
| Royal Meteor F8BA | Yes | 24.64 |
| una1emery | Yes | 23.03 |
| Fayer00 | Yes | 19.53 |
| SaucePolly1 | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
