Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026?

sportsResolved

Yes, settled Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$118.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEsports

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 19 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 34% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 19 Oct 2026, the highest close was 97.7% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 97.7% on 19 Oct 2026. $118.41K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 1:16 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 19 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Nibiru2	No	110.9K
Golden Beacon 67A6	No	2.62K
gereamrolinkae	No	1K

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market. Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above. If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.