
Resolved No on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 39% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 14 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 50.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $15.98K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 8:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 39.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| csxjp | Yes | 1.62K |
| GW99 | Yes | 800 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 592.78 |
| Rapid-Lay | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Thunderpick World Championship 2026, currently scheduled for October 14, 2026 to October 18, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8932/thunderpick-world-championship-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thunderpick-world-championship-2026-winner
| Rexchu | Yes | 168.89 |
| Pushy-Muscat | Yes | 136.89 |
| kot.v.tance | Yes | 100 |
| Fixed-Sailboat-Lumberman | Yes | 70 |
| waleng | Yes | 60 |
| J138 | Yes | 57.12 |
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