Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 48% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 253 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 1 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 79.5% on 26 Jan 2026. $39.6K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 253 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 143 |
| acal | Yes | 142.01 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-exponent-launch-a-token-by
| alijbee | Yes | 129.69 |
| FranTerC4 | Yes | 119.99 |
| rajugg | Yes | 99.99 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 56.39 |
| KIkkkii | Yes | 51 |
| Festka | Yes | 30.26 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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