Resolved No on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 44.3% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 4.2% on 29 Jun 2026. $4.17K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.7% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.32K |
| Lavincey | Yes | 136 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| yyyakudza | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 North America ACE stage 3 tournament currently scheduled for May 22 - July 13, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the listed team whose name comes first alphabetically. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the North America ACE Stage 3 winner is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the winner of North America ACE Challengers 2026 split 3 is not determined by July 27, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the vlr website (https://www.vlr.gg/event/2858/challengers-2026-north-america-ace-stage-3/swiss-stage). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: vlr.gg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/challengers-2026-north-america-ace-stage-3-winner-20260625200322991
| mustbethewater | Yes | 80 |
| Coral Beacon D5C9 | Yes | 60 |
| paspor | Yes | 50 |
| Anon321321321 | Yes | 43.39 |
| richardd | Yes | 41.2 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 25 |
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