Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?

economyResolved

No, settled Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 7% on 2 Aug 2026. $2.35K traded over the market's life.

40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 3:21 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.98K
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	443.46
Attached-Prairie	Yes	162.48

10 of 40 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.