
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 8 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2025 to 11 Aug 2025, the highest close was 35.6% on 10 Aug 2025 and the lowest 1.9% on 11 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 1.9% on 11 Aug 2025. $211.62K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 8 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2025 | 2.1% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cagliostro3 | Yes | 10.92K |
| stonksgoup | Yes | 6.63K |
| Jess1 | Yes | 2.79K |
| johnnyonmoney | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Ethereum Hit Price market this week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-august-4-10
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| wingc | Yes | 1.1K |
| xiao99595 | Yes | 648.62 |
| lotuseater | Yes | 350 |
| heuer | Yes | 220 |
| shiasd302 | Yes | 212.77 |
| aspatria | Yes | 63 |