Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 6% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 19 Jan 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 19 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 37.5% on 14 Jan 2026. $263.1K traded over the market's life.
213 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 19 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 6.0% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Critical-Beancurd | Yes | 4.36K |
| TA-King | Yes | 4.1K |
| tlmonks | Yes | 3.03K |
| Frayed-Chicory | Yes | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Ethereum hit January 12-18?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-january-12-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| moe17cc | Yes | 1K |
| bdd8802 | Yes | 1K |
| Evil-Riding | Yes | 946.08 |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 590.92 |
| 100len | Yes | 511.98 |
| posidon.s | Yes | 500 |
