
Resolved 4000 on 8 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had 4000 at 92.5%. The 3000 side opened at 29% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 8 Aug 2025, the highest close was 29% on 6 Aug 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 8 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 7.5% on 8 Aug 2025. $15.25K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the 3000 price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 8 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | 3000 price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 29.0% |
| 8 Aug 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | 3000 | 59.97 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | 3000 | 40 |
| chaoqiang | 3000 | 20.67 |
| SamXu | 3000 | 2.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ethereum-hit-3k-or-4k-first-796
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