Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 22 Dec 2025, the highest close was 45% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 3.1% on 20 Dec 2025. $216.97K traded over the market's life.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 30.5% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FengxiSakura | Yes | 27.61K |
| GoldenFlask151 | Yes | 7.74K |
| fomod | Yes | 3.2K |
| Careless-Piano | Yes | 1.6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Ethereum hit December 15-21?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-december-15-21
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| Iugurta | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 679 |
| rulicv | Yes | 550 |
| vaderrs | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 461 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 377 |
